The 2-1 New England Patriots travel to Miami’s Sun Life Staduim Monday night to face the 2-1 Miami Dolphins in a game that has potential tie-breaker importance. The Patriots are riding an impressive 6-1 record on Monday night in their past 7 games. The oddsmakers have put the Patriots as 1-point favorites.
New England’s defense has struggled to contain opposing offenses so far this year, and they’ll have their hands full again against a Miami team that’s acquired Brandon Marshall, as well as seen their QB, Chad Henne further develop his passing game.
The Wildcat is still a possibility the Patriots have to plan for, but so far this year the Dolphins haven’t gotten much production out of their signature offensive formation. Ronnie Brown will still take a few direct snaps in this game, but Belichick won’t be caught off-guard again.
Marshall should have a great game against a suspect pair of right corner backs, with his size and strength outmatching Kyle Arrington and Darius Butler. Henne will have plenty of other options to exploit as well with Brian Hartline opposite Marshall, and Davone Bess in the slot — the Dolphin’s equivalent to Wes Welker.
Patriot’s QB Tom Brady will look to WR Randy Moss to stretch the field, opening up the middle of the field for Welker to go wild against a porous Dolphin’s linebacking core. Miami will have their hands full containing the Patriots’ offense in what should be a high-scoring affair.
Here are some matchup trends to consider:
All games played at MIAMI since 1992
MIAMI is 10-8 against the spread versus NEW ENGLAND since 1992
MIAMI is 12-6 straight up against NEW ENGLAND since 1992
10 of 18 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 3-1 against the spread versus NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 2-2 straight up against NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons